The U.S. Health Resources and Services Administration (HRSA)
workforce projection data from December 18, 2025, shows the U.S. will have 565,690 LPNs by 2038 but will need 811,640, equaling a shortage of 245,950.
The National Center for Health Workforce Analysis provides projections of the future supply of and demand for healthcare occupations. Projections were generated using some data from the period of the pandemic. According to the
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, about 4 in 10 LPNs and licensed vocational nurses work in skilled nursing facilities and residential care facilities.
AHCA/NCAL’s
Caregivers for Tomorrow is a nationwide effort to drive policy change to strengthen and expand the long term care workforce through innovative, sustainable solutions. These solutions will attract new caregivers, support current staff, and ensure every older adult and individual with disabilities has access to the high-quality care they deserve for years to come. You can learn more
here.